• OUTLOOK: 1st Day Atlantic

    From Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to All on Sat Jun 1 09:59:00 2024
    ABNT20 KNHC 011115
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    &&

    Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which
    will run until November 30. The long-term averages for the number
    of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 14, 7, and 3, respectively.

    The list of names for 2024 is as follows:

    Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation --------------------------------------------------------------------

    Alberto al-BAIR-toe Beryl BEHR-ril
    Chris kris Debby DEH-bee
    Ernesto er-NES-toh Francine fran-SEEN
    Gordon GOR-duhn Helene heh-LEEN
    Isaac EYE-zik Joyce joyss
    Kirk kurk Leslie LEHZ-lee
    Milton MIL-ton Nadine nay-DEEN
    Oscar AHS-kur Patty PAT-ee
    Rafael Rah-fah-EL Sara SAIR-uh
    Tony TOH-nee Valerie VAH-lur-ee
    William Will-yum

    A full list of Atlantic basin tropical cyclone names and
    pronunciations can be found at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/aboutnames_pronounce_atlc.pdf

    This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes
    significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for
    tropical cyclone formation during the next seven days. The
    issuance times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT.
    After the change to standard time in November, the issuance times
    are 1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.

    A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
    updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances
    of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks
    will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular
    Tropical Weather Outlooks.

    A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone
    public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and
    a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all
    ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special advisory package
    may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected
    changes or to modify watches or warnings.

    NHC has the option to issue advisories, watches, and warnings for
    disturbances that are not yet a tropical cyclone, but which pose
    the threat of bringing tropical storm or hurricane conditions to
    land areas within 48 hours. For these land-threatening "potential
    tropical cyclones", NHC will issue the full suite of advisory and
    watch/warning products. Potential tropical cyclones share the
    naming conventions currently in place for tropical depressions,
    being numbered from a single list (e.g., "One", "Two", "Three",
    etc.).

    The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of
    significant changes in a tropical cyclone, to post or cancel
    watches or warnings, or to provide hourly position updates between
    intermediate advisories when the storm center is easily followed by
    radar. It is used in lieu of or to precede the issuance of a
    special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates, which can be
    issued at any time, can be found under WMO header WTNT61-65 KNHC,
    and under AWIPS header MIATCUAT1-5.

    All NHC text and graphical products are available on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov . More information on NHC text and
    graphical products can be found at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Product_Description.pdf . New and
    updated products for the 2024 season can be found at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Updates_2024.pdf .

    In 2024, NHC will expand its offering of Spanish language text
    products to include all Public Advisories, the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion, the Tropical Cyclone Update, and Key Messages for the
    Atlantic basin. These products will use AI techniques tested in
    2023. Links to Spanish-language advisory products will be available
    on hurricanes.gov. Information on headers for Spanish language
    products can be found in the 2024 new and updated products for the
    2024 season at document
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Updates_2024.pdf

    You can also interact with NHC on Facebook at
    https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC . Notifications are
    available via X when select National Hurricane Center products are issued. Information about our Atlantic X feed (@NHC_Atlantic) is available at https://www.hurricanes.gov/twitter.php .

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
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