• TD Three heading for Mexi

    From Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to All on Sun Jun 30 20:13:00 2024
    336
    WTNT33 KNHC 302329
    TCPAT3

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Three Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032024
    700 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024

    ...DEPRESSION MOVING TOWARD THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO...
    ...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF
    EASTERN MEXICO...


    SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...19.8N 95.6W
    ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Cabo Rojo to Puerto Veracruz.

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
    the next 12 hours.

    For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three
    was located near latitude 19.8 North, longitude 95.6 West. The
    depression is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this
    general motion should continue until it dissipates over eastern
    Mexico late Monday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Some strengthening is expected, and the cyclone is forecast to
    become a tropical storm before it reaches the coast later tonight.
    The system is expected to weaken and dissipate after it moves inland
    over eastern Mexico.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for the depression can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

    RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Three is expected to produce rainfall
    totals of 4 to 8 inches across portions of eastern Mexico into
    Monday, with localized maximum totals of 15 inches possible. This
    rainfall will result in areas of flooding, with mudslides possible
    in areas of higher terrain.

    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
    associated with Tropical Depression Three, please see the National
    Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf

    WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
    later tonight.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
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